DreamsofBliss
Well-Known Member
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Of course, getting three spots could be a problem if two of the top U.S. teams don't go.
You've got 2 Italian teams, 2 Russian teams, 1 French team, 2 Canadian teams.
Those teams probably a lock. Assume Hubbell & Donohue are a lock too.
Then you have Coomes & Buckland, probably finish above Hawayek & Baker.
Then Fournier-Beaudry & Sorenson. Probably competitive with Hawayek & Baker. (And maybe the Spanish. I would say definitely the Spanish if it was Hurtado & Khaliavin, but assuming Spain doesn't swap, I'll say the odds are better for Hawayek & Baker).
So, yeah, if you want to control your own destiny for next season, you go to Worlds. That's how you earn GP spots and the three World berths. It's also how you make your argument to compete at Skate America or go where you want to go on the GP next season.
The U.S. can finish with under 13 points with Hawayek & Baker.
But there's risk.
For example, if Hubbell & Donohue were to come 4th behind the French, Bobrova & Soloviev, and Cappellini & Lanotte (who will be skating at home), then Hawayek & Baker would need to finish top 9. That would mean defeating Coomes & Buckland, whom they have never defeated.
Worlds is in Europe. It's not neutral territory. The U.S. teams won't get the benefit of the doubt. But it would be possible for H&D and H&B to get the job done. A 2nd place finish for H&D and an 11th for H&B would do the job. Or a 3rd place and a 10th.
Those are doable.
But there's risk.
Hawayek and Baker finished ahead of Coomes and Buckland at NHK Trophy 2014...but CB had a disatrous FD.